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approvals
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Lid
Oil
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Trump Daily
UEFA Super Cup
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 10 - August 15)
August 12
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
August 15
79%
Yes
79%
No
21%
August 13
52%
Yes
52%
No
48%
August 14
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
$16k Vol.
Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?
Flávio Bolsonaro
67%
Yes
67%
No
33%
Renan Santos
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
Romeu Zema
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
Augusto Cury
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
Lula da Silva
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
Ronaldo Caiado
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$21k Vol.
Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-max
94%
Yes
94%
No
6%
Other
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
claude-opus-5-high
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
qwen3.8-max
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$3k Vol.
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
33%
Down
Up
Down
$762 Vol.
SOL Up or Down 4h
53%
Up
Up
Down
Live
·
Solana
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 12?
61%
Up
Up
Down
$25 Vol.
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 12?
66%
Up
Up
Down
$25 Vol.
ETH Up or Down 4h
50%
chance
Up
Down
Live
·
Ethereum
BTC Up or Down 4h
51%
Up
Up
Down
Live
·
Bitcoin
Paris Saint-Germain
55%
Aston Villa
21%
Paris
Draw
Aston Villa
$2k Vol.
·
Uefa Super CUP
·
3:00 PM ET
Cruzeiro EC
32%
CR Flamengo
33%
Cruzeiro EC
Draw
CR Flamengo
New
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